4 May 2011

Geographer’s probability that Osama bin Laden was in Abbottabad

Ecosystem geographers from the University of California, Los Angeles wrote a 2009 paper Finding Osama bin Laden: An Application of Biogeographic Theories and Satellite Imagery predicting the terrorist’s location.

Yesterday’s ScienceInsider article Geographers Had Predicted Osama's Possible Whereabouts states ‘According to a probabilistic model they created, there was an 88.9% chance that bin Laden was hiding out in a city less than 300 km from his last known location in Tora Bora: a region that included Abbottabad, Pakistan where he was killed last night.’  The article looks at the methods used in the paper, predictions and assumptions – the comments are worth reading for feedback on the study.

Abbottabad location and details on Collins Maps.

See also World Locate from Collins Bartholomew.  An extremely detailed, authoritative and accurate geo-referenced database of 2.5 million world place names. Its rich content and easy-to-use structure will enable both simple and complex geo-locating tasks. It includes all the information necessary to build or enhance any location-based internet search facility.

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